Using Data Till 1996, 2008 and 2017 via Full-Traversal Addition-Subtraction Frequency (ASF) Method with Consistent Analysis to Predict Possible M6.6-or-Above Earthquakes in Sichuan-Yunnan Region of China

In this paper, the full-traversal addition-subtraction frequency (ASF) method with three variables is presented to predict possible M6.6-or-above earthquakes in Sichuan-Yunnan region of China. Based on real seismic earthquake records in the past, we select the data till 1996, 2008 and 2017 to implement three experiments based on year and one experiment based on year/month. Besides, the consistency analysis of above four experiments shows more accurate and scientific prediction results. Finally, 2024 and 2027 (more accurately, March 2027 and December 2027) are considered to be the most possible two years in which large earthquakes might happen in Sichuan-Yunnan region of China.