Real time aurora oval forecasting - SvalTrackII

A method to forecast, up to one hour in the future, the size and location of the aurora oval is described. The work is based on a mathematical description of the aurora oval coupled to predicted values of the planetary Kp index. As a result, a real time animation of the oval mapped onto the Earth's surface is created. The night- and dayside are visualized together with the location of the twilight zone as Earth rotates under the aurora oval.