Interannual-decadal variation in satellite-derived surface chlorophyll-a concentration in the Bohai Sea over the past 16 years

Abstract Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration is an important indicator of the state of marine ecosystems. In the current study, the interannual-decadal variation in the Bohai Sea's surface Chl-a concentration and the underlying dynamics are investigated based on 16 years (August 2002–February 2019) of satellite ocean colour observations. The Chl-a concentration shows a spatially coherent increasing trend from 2003 to 2011 and a decreasing trend from 2012 to 2018 in both the Bohai and North Yellow Seas. Both decadal trends are clearer in the Bohai Sea than in the Yellow Sea and in coastal waters than in offshore waters. The decreasing trend is more obvious than the increasing trend. The low-frequency variations are mainly controlled by sea surface temperature (SST) and rainfall variations and eventually related to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). During positive PDO phases, warm SST anomalies exist in the Bohai and Yellow Seas and negative rainfall anomalies exist over the sea and surrounding lands. These anomalies would decrease the surface layer dissolved inorganic nitrogen concentration through suppressing the upward turbulent nutrient diffusion and reducing land-sourced nutrient fluxes into the ocean, leading to negative Chl-a concentration anomalies. During negative PDO phases, the opposite situation occurs. Human activities may make a secondary contribution through enhancing/reducing the anthropogenic nitrogen emission before/after 2011. This study emphasizes the natural climate variability in modulating low-frequency variations in surface Chl-a concentrations in the Bohai and Yellow Seas in recent decades and is useful for marine resource planning and marine ecological management in the Bohai Sea in the future.