Predicting Outcome after Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Comparison of Different Grading Systems
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To develop and validate a risk chart for prediction of delayed cerebral ischemia after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage based on admission characteristics.For derivation of the risk chart, we studied data from 371 prospectively collected consecutive subarachnoid hemorrhage patients with a confirmed aneurysm admitted between 1999 and 2007. For its validation we similarly studied 255 patients admitted between 2007 and 2009. The predictive value of admission characteristics was tested in logistic regression models with delayed cerebral ischemia-related infarction as primary outcome. Procedure-related infarctions were not included. Performance of the models was tested by discrimination and calibration. On the basis of these models, a risk chart was developed for application in clinical practice.The strongest predictors were clinical condition on admission, amount of blood on computed tomography (both cisternal and intraventricular) and age. A model that combined these 4 predictors had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.63 (95% confidence interval, 0.57-0.69). This model improved little by including current smoking and hyperglycemia on admission (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.59-0.71). The risk chart predicted risks of delayed cerebral ischemia-related infarction varying from 12% to 61%. Both low risk (<20% risk) and high risk (>40% risk) were predicted in ≈20% of the patients. Validation confirmed that the discriminative ability was adequate (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.69; 95% confidence interval, 0.61-0.77).Absolute risks of delayed cerebral ischemia-related infarction can be reliably estimated by a simple risk chart that includes clinical condition on admission, amount of blood on computed tomography (both cisternal and intraventricular), and age.
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Background and Purpose— Patients are classically at risk of delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. We validated a grading scale—the VASOGRADE—for prediction of DCI. Methods— We used data of 3 phase II randomized clinical trials and a single hospital series to assess the relationship between the VASOGRADE and DCI. The VASOGRADE derived from previously published risk charts and consists of 3 categories: VASOGRADE-Green (modified Fisher scale 1 or 2 and World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies scale [WFNS] 1 or 2); VASOGRADE-Yellow (modified Fisher 3 or 4 and WFNS 1–3); and VASOGRADE-Red (WFNS 4 or 5, irrespective of modified Fisher grade). The relation between the VASOGRADE and DCI was assessed by logistic regression models. The predictive accuracy of the VASOGRADE was assessed by receiver operating characteristics curve and calibration plots. Results— In a cohort of 746 patients, the VASOGRADE significantly predicted DCI ( P <0.001). The VASOGRADE-Yellow had a tendency for increased risk for DCI (odds ratio [OR], 1.31; 95% CI, 0.77–2.23) when compared with VASOGRADE-Green; those with VASOGRADE-Red had a 3-fold higher risk of DCI (OR, 3.19; 95% CI, 2.07–4.50). Studies were not a significant confounding factor between the VASOGRADE and DCI. The VASOGRADE had an adequate discrimination for prediction of DCI (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve=0.63) and good calibration. Conclusions— The VASOGRADE results validated previously published risk charts in a large and diverse sample of subarachnoid hemorrhage patients, which allows DCI risk stratification on presentation after subarachnoid hemorrhage. It could help to select patients at high risk of DCI, as well as standardize treatment protocols and research studies.
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Abstract Background Patients with poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), defined as World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grade IV-V has high rates of disability and mortality. The objective of this research is to prognosticate outcomes of poor-grade aSAH accurately. Methods A total of 147 poor-grade aSAH patients in our center were enrolled. Risk variables identified by multivariate logistic regression were used to devise the scoring model (total score of 0–9 points). The score values were estimated according to β coefficients. A cohort of 68 patients from another institute was used to validate the model. Results Multivariate analysis revealed that modified Fisher grade above II (odds ratio [OR], 2.972; p = 0.034), age ≥ 65 years (OR, 3.534; p = 0.006), conservative treatment (OR, 5.078; p = 0.019), WFNS Grade V (OR, 2.638; p = 0.029), delayed cerebral ischemia (OR, 3.170; p = 0.016), shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (OR, 3.202; p = 0.032) and cerebral herniation (OR, 7.337; p < 0.001) were significant predictors of poor prognosis (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] ≥ 3). By integration of above factors, a scoring system was constructed and divided poor-grade aSAH patients into three categories: low risk (0–1 point), intermediate risk (2–3 points) and high risk (4–9 points), with risk of poor prognosis being 11%, 52% and 87% respectively (P < 0.001). The area under the curve in derivation cohort was 0.844 (p < 0.001; 95% CI, 0.778–0.909). AUC in validation cohort was 0.831 (p < 0.001; 95% CI, 0.732–0.929). Conclusions The new scoring model could improve prognostication of prognosis and help decision-making for subsequent complement treatment.
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<i>Background:</i> The management of patients with poor-grade subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) continues to be controversial. The objective of this study was to examine predictors of outcome of poor-grade SAH after surgical obliteration of the aneurysm. <i>Methods:</i> The study was performed as a retrospective review of 283 patients with poor-grade SAH who underwent surgical obliteration of the aneurysm at multiple centers in Chugoku and Shikoku, Japan. <i>Results:</i> A favorable outcome at discharge was achieved in 97 of the 283 patients (34.3%). Age (p < 0.001), World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grade V at admission (p = 0.002), improvement in WFNS grade after admission (p = 0.002), Fisher grade (p = 0.039) and a low-density area (LDA) associated with vasospasm on computed tomography (CT; p < 0.001) showed a significant association with outcome. Further analysis of WFNS grades indicated that most patients who only improved to preoperative grade IV from grade V at admission did not have a favorable outcome. Multivariate analysis identified age (especially of ≧65 years; p < 0.001), WFNS grade V (p < 0.001) and LDA associated with vasospasm on CT (p < 0.001) as predictors of a poor outcome, and improvement in WFNS grade (p = 0.001) as a predictor of a favorable outcome after surgical obliteration of the aneurysm. <i>Conclusions:</i> Advanced age, WFNS grade V, improvement in WFNS grade, and LDA associated with vasospasm on CT were found to be independent predictors of clinical outcome, whereas rebleeding, early aneurysm surgery and treatment modality (surgical clipping or Guglielmi detachable coil embolization) were not independently associated with outcome in patients with poor-grade aneurysm.
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Objective To observe the quantitative relation between new subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) grading and scores of Garcia neurological scale in mouse models of SAH.Methods Mouse models of SAH were induced by filament perforation; neurological scale was performed 24 h after SAH; and then,these mouse models were sacrificed and performed SAH grading;the relation between scores of neurological scale and SAH grading was analyzed by SPSS 13.0 software.Results Fourteen of 21 mice survived after SAH. The higher the SAH grading, the worsen the neurological scale results; these 2 were negatively correlated (r=-0.841,P=0.000). Conclusion The scores of Garcia neurological scale and SAH grading has a quantitative negative relation and can be used to evaluate the hemorrhage in mouse models induced by filament perforation.
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Subarachnoid hemorrhage; Neurological scale; Quantitative analysis
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Grading (engineering)
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Worldwide, different scales are used to assess the clinical condition on admission after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. In addition to the prognostic value, the inter-rater variability should be taken into account when deciding which scale preferably should be used. We assessed the interobserver agreement of the commonly used World Federation of Neurological Surgeons, the Hunt and Hess, and the Prognosis on Admission of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage scales.In a cohort of 50 subarachnoid hemorrhage patients, 103 paired assessments were performed on the 3 admission scales by 2 independent observers per assessment with a total of 57 different raters. Patients were assessed during the first week after the hemorrhage. The interobserver agreement was calculated using quadratic (weighted) kappa statistics.The weighted kappa value of the Prognosis on Admission of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage scale was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.49-0.79), of the World Federation of Neurological Surgeons scale was 0.60 (95% CI, 0.48-0.73), and of the Hunt and Hess scale was 0.48 (95% CI, 0.36-0.59).The Hunt and Hess scale showed the lowest interobserver agreement, whereas agreement of the World Federation of Neurological Surgeons and Prognosis on Admission of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage scales was similar with overlapping CI.
Grading scale
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Grading (engineering)
Subarachnoid haemorrhage
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