The “Backus-Smith” puzzle, non-tradable output, and international business cycles
2
Citation
26
Reference
10
Related Paper
Citation Trend
Abstract:
Purpose This paper aims to examine the effects of adding non-tradable sector and trade in intermediate goods sector and their impact on the “Backus-Smith” (BS) puzzle and the features of the non-tradable output. Conventional international real business cycle models show that the real exchange rate and the terms of trade are positively correlated to the relative consumption movement between the home and foreign economies when there is a total factor productivity shock, whereas the correlation in the data is negative. The author develops a two-country, dynamic, stochastic and general equilibrium (DSGE) model with staggered price setting in the non-tradable sector and international trade in intermediate goods sector because of product differentiation in a high-asset market frictions situation. Design/methodology/approach In this paper, DGSE simulation and calibration are performed using Matlab with Dynare. Findings When the world economy has positive country-specific productivity shock, the benchmark model with non-tradable sector and intermediate goods sector successfully solves the BS puzzle and is able to match several features of the data. The dynamic responses to productivity shock show that integrating product differentiation is necessary to generate a more volatile and counter-cyclical non-tradable output. Originality/value The paper investigates the effects of incorporating non-tradable sector and trade in interemediate goods sector to standard two-country DSGE model through simulation and calibration.Keywords:
Consumption
Benchmark (surveying)
This paper investigates underlying changes in the UK economy over the past thirtyfive years using a small open economy DSGE model. Using Bayesian analysis, we find UK monetary policy, nominal price rigidity and exogenous shocks, are all subject to regime shifting. A model incorporating these changes is used to estimate the realised monetary policy and derive the optimal monetary policy for the UK. This allows us to assess the effectiveness of the realised policy in terms of stabilising economic fluctuations, and, in turn, provide an indication of whether there is room for monetary authorities to further improve their policies.
Small open economy
New Keynesian economics
Cite
Citations (3)
Traditionally, the task of monetary management is usually performed by the monetary authority on behalf of government. However, a key challenge in monetary management is how to deal with uncertainty. Thus, the relevant policy questions must include how best the available instruments of monetary policy be deployed in shock prone mature stabilizers. Therefore, the basic thrust of this paper is to evaluate monetary policy - tradeoffs using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium(DSGE)model estimated on data for Nigeria.
Cite
Citations (0)
The paper discusses the role of stochastic trends in DSGE models and effects of stochastic
detrending. We argue that explicit structural assumptions on trend behavior is convenient,
namely for emerging countries. In emerging countries permanent shocks are an important
part of business cycle dynamics. The reason is that permanent shocks spill over
the whole frequency range, potentially, including business cycle frequencies. Applying
high- or band-pass filter to obtain business cycle dynamics, however, does not eliminate
the influence of permanent shocks on comovements of time series. The contribution of
the paper is to provide a way how to calculate the role of permanent shocks on the detrended/
filtered business cycle population dynamics in a DSGE model laboratory using
the frequency domain methods.
Hodrick–Prescott filter
Dynamics
Cite
Citations (8)
Bayes estimator
Small open economy
Bayesian vector autoregression
Cite
Citations (2)
A news-driven business cycle is a positive comovement of consumption, output, labor, and investment from the news about the future. It is well-known that the standard real business cycle model cannot generate it. In this paper, we show that nominal rigidities, especially sticky prices, can cause it in an estimated medium-scale DSGE economy. We also find that sticky wages cannot cause it in our economy.
Investment
Consumption
Cite
Citations (0)
The paper discusses the role of stochastic trends in DSGE models and effects of stochastic detrending. We argue that explicit structural assumptions on trend behavior is convenient, namely for emerging countries. In emerging countries permanent shocks are an important part of business cycle dynamics. The reason is that permanent shocks spill over the whole frequency range, potentially, including business cycle frequencies. Applying high- or band-pass filter to obtain business cycle dynamics, however, does not eliminate the influence of permanent shocks on comovements of time series. The contribution of the paper is to provide a way how to calculate the role of permanent shocks on the detrended/ filtered business cycle population dynamics in a DSGE model laboratory using the frequency domain methods.
Hodrick–Prescott filter
Cite
Citations (0)
In this paper, we construct an open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to study the impact of the technology shocks on monetary policy in China. We find technology shocks have a more significant and direct impact on both monetary policy transmission channels and targets in China. It is necessary to pay close attention to technology shocks in making monetary policy and respond to it appropriately.
Monetary hegemony
Cite
Citations (7)
Traditionally, the task of monetary management is usually performed by the monetary authority on behalf of government. However, a key challenge in monetary management is how to deal with uncertainty. Thus, the relevant policy questions must include how best the available instruments of monetary policy be deployed in shock prone mature stabilizers. Therefore, the basic thrust of this paper is to evaluate monetary policy - tradeoffs using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium(DSGE)model estimated on data for Nigeria.
Cite
Citations (0)
Taylor rule
New Keynesian economics
Bayes estimator
Cite
Citations (60)