Judge analysis of the coal market in 2013
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In 2013,there are many uncertain factors in coal market.The current situation of oversupply of the market is difficult to have a fundamental change.The great sales pressure still exists in domestic coal production enterprisesCite
Upgrade of supply and insufficient of demand Lead to the imbalance of the relafin between Chinese market supply and demand. From the imbalance the following enlightment can be obtained:Strengthening post-sell Service,starting the market for secondary products,realizing the seperation of products and their functions,and paying more attention to eguality of income distribution.
Upgrade
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Contents of this report include: EIA projections of coal supply and demand which covers forecasted coal supply and transportation, forecasted coal demand by consuming sector, and forecasted coal demand by the electric utility sector; and policy discussion.
On demand
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Underscoring the nation's increasing energy needs, this volume of studies contributes methodologically to the econometric analysis of energy. It examines the problems of supply and demand for electricity in particular, and also for coal, natural gas, and petroleum. Econometric methods are applied to the problems of aggregate and space heating demands for fuels, the supply and demand for coal, changing economic conditions for coal extraction, and electricity costs. The volume concludes that price elasticities are high, and that energy policy should rely on the price mechanism.
Econometric model
energy demand
Electricity demand
Econometric analysis
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Based on an analysis of China's supply and demand dynamics of the thermal coal in the third quarter,and an overlook of the supply and demand situation for the fourth quarter,it is predicted that the supply and demand for the thermal coal will generally keep balance nationwide in the fourth quarter,while a slight shortage of the coal supply would occur locally for short durations.Some recommendations are proposed to improve security of thermal coal supply.
Quarter (Canadian coin)
Economic shortage
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In recent years,global climate changes abnormally,and production is affected by natural disasters.Both of them not only affect the relation between supply and demand to some extent,but also increase people′s expectations to food crisis.As the world′s most extensive crops in planting,production and consumer demand,rice has a closely relation with people′s life.Its supply and demand in international and domestic market has been paid more and more attention.This article takes the rice market supply and demand as the research object to analyze the rice production condition of these years,discuss the rice condition of consumption and analyze the supply and demand analysis of rice market.
Consumer Demand
Consumption
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Analysis on power coal supply and demand situation in recent years is carried out and the main characteristics of coal market in 2005 are explained as:the demand growth on coal was decreasing;contradiction between supply and demand was mitigated;coal inventory was increasing gradually but coal price was still in high level.Coal supply and demand trend in 2006 is described as improvement on supply and demand balance in general but more uncertainty expected.
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The development environment of natural gas industry in China is elaborated.It is pointed out that natural gas will account for a growing proportion in the constitution of city gas in the future due to its unique advantages.Through analyzing the supply and demand status of natural gas market,it is considered that the Chinese natural gas supply shortage situation shows a tendency of spread.The causes for the both annual and seasonal supply shortage are pointed out,and the relevant countermeasures are put forward.The future development of natural gas industry is prospected,the Chinese natural gas demand is predicted,and the measures to meet the supply gap are proposed.The source structure of the Chinese natural gas supply market is analyzed and forecasted.
Economic shortage
Natural gas industry
Gas industry
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In reviewing the supply and demand of thermal coal of 2011 both from the supply side and the demand side while looking ahead into 2012,this study estimates that the consumption of thermal coal in 2012 will reach 2.2 billion ton with an overall balance between supply and demand across the country.However,local shortages may occur at times in some areas,especially in the central China region,because of inadequate resources,limited transportation capacity,high coal prices and other factors.
Economic shortage
Consumption
Supply side
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In China,the basic features of mineral resources are rich,bet per capita is relatively poor,mineral quantity supplied is less the demanded.Affected by multiple factors such as resource structure and technology level,coal resources is dominant in the supply and demand situation of energy resources in China.This paper analyzes coal reserves,coal resources static guarantee period and quantity demanded,forecasts and analysis the supply and demand balance of coal resources,and then puts forward the necessity of coal strategic reserve in Jincheng City.According to some existing problems in the strategic reserve of our country,the paper also provides some countermeasure and suggestions.
Countermeasure
Mineral resource classification
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China is a big energy consuming country, the present situation of being rich in coal and poor in oil determines the important role of coal in our economic development. In this paper, the basic elasticity theory in economics is used for the coal supply and demand researches of china,which better and objectively reflects the complicated and confused coal supply and demand, price and the alternative energy resource price and their interrelationship. This work have important significances for implementation the coal price formation, energy saving and emission reduction policies. The results show that although our coal supply and demand market has gradually liberalized, but due to the limit of energy consumption structure and technology level, our coal supply and demand price elasticity is lower and investment costs of substitution energy resource are high which means that in our country, the short-term energy resource consumption is still mainly dependent on coal.
Energy supply
Elasticity
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