Independent Diagnostic and Post-Treatment Prognostic Models for Prostate Cancer Demonstrate Significant Correlation with Disease Progression End Points
Joseph A. GraversenLara K. SuhAdam C. MuesRuslan KoretsMichael DonovanFaisal M. KhanQiuhua LiuJaime LandmanMantu GuptaJames M. McKiernanKetan K. Badani
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A major advance in the standard practice of tissue-based pathology is the new discipline of systems pathology (SP) that uses computational modeling to combine clinical, pathologic, and molecular measurements to predict biologic activity. Recently, a SP-based prostate cancer (PCa) predictive model for both preoperative (Px+) and postoperative (Px) prostatectomy has been developed. The purpose of this study is to calculate the percent agreement and the concordance between the Px+ and Px end points.Fifty-three patients underwent robot-assisted prostatectomy for PCa, and had Px+ and Px testing performed. Data were collected on Px+ end points and Px end points along with pathologic specimen results. The percent agreement and the degree of correlation between the Px+ and Px end points were then calculated.The percent agreement (PA) between Px+ end points and Px end points ranged from 77% to 87%. The PA between a high Px+ favorable pathology (FP) classification and dominant Gleason score ≤ 3 and Gleason sum ≤ 6 was 71.7% and 37.4%, respectively. On univariate analysis, Px+ disease progression (DP) score significantly correlated with Px prostate-specific antigen recurrence (PSAR) score (P<0.001), while Px+ DP probability significantly correlated with PxPSAR probability (P<0.001). Px+ FP probability significantly correlated with postprostatectomy dominant Gleason grade ≤ 3 (P<0.001) and Gleason sum (P<0.001).The PA between Px+ and Px testing end points for radical prostatectomy patients was very good. Furthermore, there was a direct correlation between most Px+ and Px end points. While the Px+FP classification and Gleason sum demonstrated a poor PA, Px+FP score still maintained a direct correlation to prostatectomy Gleason sum.Keywords:
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We examined whether the prostate specific antigen (PSA) nadir is a good predictor of biochemical failure after radical prostatectomy.We retrospectively reviewed clinico-pathological data in 257 patients who underwent radical prostatectomy. Twenty-nine patients of whom PSA nadir did not reach 0.1 ng/mL and three patients in whom second line therapy was started before biochemical failure were excluded, and 225 patients were subject to this study. We evaluated the changes in PSA value at very low (from less than 0.01-0.10 ng/mL) levels using an ultra-sensitive PSA assay after radical prostatectomy. Biochemical failure was defined as three consecutive elevations of PSA to above 0.1 ng/mL.Biochemical failure-free survival was attained by 89.9% of patients at 1 year, 83.0% at 2 years, and 81.0% at 5 years. PSA nadir more than 0.01 ng/mL was strongly associated with biochemical failure after radical prostatectomy (P < 0.0001). Mean time to reach PSA nadir was 3.1 months. Preoperative PSA > 20 ng/mL (P = 0.0013), clinical T stage = T2 (P = 0.0462), Gleason score 8-10 (P = 0.0243) were also independent predictors of biochemical progression.Prostate specific antigen nadir determined by ultra-sensitive PSA assay is an important parameter that is objective, reliable, and easily measured, and useful for predicting the subgroups of patients both most likely and unlikely to exhibit biochemical progression.
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Prostate specific antigen was not detectable in 2 men with documented prostate cancer progression after radical prostatectomy. Possible explanations for prostate specific antigen remaining zero in these situations are discussed. We conclude that while monitoring prostate specific antigen is of great value in the followup of patients with prostatic cancer, it has not replaced more standard means of followup.
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The study objective is to determine advisability of radiation therapy in patients with recurrent prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy. Materials and methods. In our research 92 patients were treated by salvage radiation therapy after radical prostatectomy. The median of follow up is 48 months. Results. The rates of 1, 2 and 3 years disease-free survival were 96, 91 and 86 %. We received that prostate specific antigen doubling time <6 months and prostate specific antigen >0.5 ng/ml before salvage radiation therapy statistical significance associated with biochemical failure. The results of our study indicate two main negative factors in the prognosis of the efficacy of radiotherapy and combined hormone therapy in patients with biochemical or clinical locoregional recurrence – the period of prostate specific antigen doubling time less than 6 months (p = 0.035) after radical prostatectomy and a higher prostate specific antigen level, especially more than 0.5 ng/ml before salvage radiotherapy (p = 0.037). Conclusion. Taking into account the absence of differences in the results of treatment between groups of patients with clinical and biochemical recurrences, it is not advisable to postpone the implementation of salvage radiotherapy and recommend patients to repeat the study. Repeated studies of these patients, as a rule, are conducted after many months at a higher level of the prostate specific antigen, which is associated with a higher tumor activity and a worse prognosis of the disease.
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