CARGO SPILL PROBABILITY ANALYSIS FOR THE DEEP WATER PORT PROJECT

The study establishes tools by which the probability of liquid cargo spills from tankers and tanker-related loading and unloading facilities could be determined. A probability model for predicting the occurrence of cargo spills was developed and quantified using a Bayesian statistical approach. The probability model considers the size, cause, and location characteristics of cargo spills. A cargo spill was considered to be the entrance of any amount of liquid cargo whether intentional or accidental into the marine environment. (Author Modified Abstract)