Deriving Arctic 2 m air temperatures over snow and ice from satellite surface temperature measurements

Abstract. The Arctic region is responding heavily to climate change, and yet, the air temperature of Arctic, ice covered areas is heavily under-sampled when it comes to in situ measurements, and large uncertainties exist in weather- and reanalysis products. This paper presents a method for estimating daily mean 2 meter air temperatures (T2m) in the Arctic from satellite observations of skin temperature, using the Arctic and Antarctic ice Surface Temperatures from thermal Infrared (AASTI) satellite dataset, providing spatially detailed observations of the Arctic. The method is based on a linear regression model which has been developed using in situ observations and daily mean satellite ice surface skin temperatures combined with a seasonal variation to estimate daily T2m. The satellite derived T2m product including estimated uncertainties covers clear sky snow and ice surfaces in the Arctic region during the period 2000–2009. Comparison with independent in situ measured T2m gives average correlations of 95.5 % and 96.5 % and average root mean square errors of 3.47 °C and 3.19 °C for land ice and sea ice, respectively. The reconstruction provides a much better spatial coverage than the sparse in situ observations of T2m in the Arctic, is independent of numerical weather prediction model input and it therefore provides an important alternative to simulated air temperatures to be used for assimilation or global surface temperature reconstructions. A comparison between in situ T2m versus T2m from satellite and ERA-Interim shows that the T2m derived from satellite observations validate similar or better than ERA-Interim estimates in the Arctic.