Analytical Approach To Development Goal Modeling For The Socio-Economic System
2020
One of the most important tasks of strategic management is modeling the development goal of the socio-economic system. The model must meet a number of requirements. Firstly, such a model will answer the question about the possibility of its achievement by the system. Secondly, with the help of the model, a strategy can be developed to achieve the target indicators and create the necessary resource for this. The article proposes an analytical model. The research result is presented in the form of graphic images - spatial - temporal diagrams. The spatial - temporal diagram is a set of points built on the Cartesian plane, the abscissa of each of which is time, and the ordinate is the state of the socio - economic system. Using these diagrams, you can get a model of the system’s management strategy, estimate the amount of resources needed to achieve the target indicators, and choose the optimal strategy from several strategies. A feature of the proposed method is that when modeling takes into account the stochastic nature of the influence of environmental factors. At the beginning of the article the main definitions related to goal setting are given. Then, the methodology for constructing spatio-temporal diagrams is briefly described. Using this technique, the primary goal is modeled. The primary target determines the numerical characteristics of the target. The influence of the lead time period on its size is discussed. Finally, the goal is adjusted taking into account the influence of environmental factors.
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