Spatial and temporal evolution of drought characteristics across the Yellow River basin

Abstract Drought disasters restrict economic and social development. Understanding the evolution of the spatiotemporal characteristics of drought plays a vital role in basin risk response and management. Complex empirical orthogonal function analysis is widely used in meteorological research and is an important tool for studying the spatial-temporal distribution structure of arid fields. This research aims to take the Yellow River Basin (YRB) as an example, separate the temporal and spatial distribution structure of drought based on the CEOF method, and explore the abrupt changes, trends, and periodic characteristics of different temporal and spatial distribution patterns. In addition, the cross-wavelet analysis reveals the lagging correlation relationship between the distribution pattern of the arid field in the basin and the Southern Oscillation factor. Results indicated that: (1) there are three typical spatial and temporal distribution patterns (full basin type, southeast-northwest reversed type and east-west reversed type) of the interannual scale drought in the YRB; (2) interannual drought evolution have obvious spatial propagation characteristics. (3) There are correlations between the three types and the Southern Oscillation on the temporal-frequency scale, and there is a time lag of 1-2a with the Southern Oscillation factor.