Fast Monte Carlo Markov chains for Bayesian shrinkage models with random effects
2019
Abstract When performing Bayesian data analysis using a general linear mixed model, the resulting posterior density is almost always analytically intractable. However, if proper conditionally conjugate priors are used, there is a simple two-block Gibbs sampler that is geometrically ergodic in nearly all practical settings, including situations where p > n (Abrahamsen and Hobert, 2017). Unfortunately, the (conditionally conjugate) multivariate Gaussian prior on β does not perform well in the high-dimensional setting where p ≫ n . In this paper, we consider an alternative model in which the multivariate Gaussian prior is replaced by the normal-gamma shrinkage prior developed by Griffin and Brown (2010). This change leads to a much more complex posterior density, and we develop a simple MCMC algorithm for exploring it. This algorithm, which has both deterministic and random scan components, is easier to analyze than the more obvious three-step Gibbs sampler. Indeed, we prove that the new algorithm is geometrically ergodic in most practical settings.
Keywords:
- Conjugate prior
- Statistics
- Mathematics
- Markov chain mixing time
- Dynamic Monte Carlo method
- Monte Carlo molecular modeling
- Variable-order Markov model
- Markov model
- Monte Carlo method in statistical physics
- Gibbs sampling
- Applied mathematics
- Multivariate normal distribution
- Hybrid Monte Carlo
- Shrinkage estimator
- Markov chain
- Markov chain Monte Carlo
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