Oil Risk and Asset Returns: Evidence from Emerging Markets in the Middle East
2014
In this paper, we investigate whether oil risk is priced in selected emerging markets of the Middle East region—in particular, oil-producing countries. Given that these countries have maintained fixed exchange rates against the U.S. dollar, we are able to modify the multivariate GARCH framework to include the oil-risk component. The results show that within the framework we adopt, the world market risk and oil risk are priced on all markets under investigation. The oil risk is highly significant in all markets, indicating that oil-risk exposure, to some extent, is nondiversifiable.
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