The evolution of business incubation centres:a Delphi forecast

Small business incubators are spreading rapidly across the US and Western Europe. The newness of the incubator concept and the pace at which new incubators are being brought on-line suggest that incubators are presendy undergoing a critical period of evolution in function, form, and purpose. This paper provides, via a Delphi survey of US incubator centre directors and managers, a mid-term forecast of incubator evolution. Predictions concerning assistance and services, client restrictions, equity positions, seed capital, and subsidization are provided. Additionally, we report the comments of incubator managers concerning pitfalls to be avoided when starting an incubator.