Implementation of Trend Moment Method for Stock Prediction as Supporting Production

Companies in each activity are accompanied by production planning activities. Determining the right amount of production will minimize the risk of loss. To assist companies in carrying out production planning activities, a system is needed that can predict the right number of products to achieve the company's targeted profit. In this study analyzing a forecasting method is a trend moment method to analyze sales trends, then combined with the season index method. Testing using the MAPE method shows the moment trend produces an error value of 10.60%, while the combination of the trend moment method with the season index produces an error of 7.83%. The test results show that the influence of the season index can reduce the forecasting error value by 2.77%.