The prognostic values of serum markers in hepatocellular carcinoma after invasive therapies based on real-world data.

Background and aims Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignancy with poor prognosis, and the mortality rate remains high. More than 70% of HCC patients have recurrence within 5 years after treatment. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the prognostic values of serum markers with retrospective data. Methods We applied real-world data (RWD) to analyze the prognostic values of six serum markers for HCC patients after treatment, including α-fetoprotein (AFP), α-fetoprotein-L3 (AFP-L3), Golgi protein73 (GP73), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), albumin (ALB), and total bilirubin (TBil). A total of 268 cases were enrolled to analyze recurrence-free survival (RFS), and 104 cases were used to analyze overall survival (OS). Results Our results demonstrated that patients with higher AFP and AFP-L3 had shorter RFS (p = 0.016 and 0.004), while higher GP73, ALT, and TBil experienced longer RFS (p = 0.000, 0.020, and 0.019). Patients with high-level GP73, ALT, TBil, and low-level ALB had significantly higher mortality rate (p=0.035, 0.008, 0.010, and 0.005). Multivariate analysis revealed that GP73 (HR = 1.548, p = 0.001) and ALT (HR = 1.316, p = 0.046) were identified as independent prognostic factors for RFS, ALB (HR = 0.127, p = 0.007), and ALT (HR = 0.237, p = 0.01) were identified as independent prognostic factors for OS. Subgroups analysis showed that GP73 had better prognostic values than other serum markers in early-stage HCC (p = 0.023). Conclusions Our study demonstrates that AFP, AFP-L3, and GP73 can be used as prognostic indicators for predicting the recurrence of HCC, while liver function tests have better survival prediction values. GP73 can act as a promising prognostic marker for early-stage HCC.