A time series approach to forecast wheat yield in Hisar district of Haryana

The present study has been performed to forecast wheat yield in Hisar district of Haryana using a time series approach (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average). The ARIMA model has been fitted using wheat yield data of Hisar for the period 1966-67 to 2018-19. The validity of fitted model has been checked for subsequent years i.e. 2016-17 to 2018-19, not included in the development of the models. In this study, it is found that ARIMA (0,1,1) model be the best model to forecast wheat yield in Hisar.