Volatility Is Log-Normal—But Not for the Reason You Think

It is impossible to discriminate between the commonly used stochastic volatility models of Heston, log-normal, and 3-over-2 on the basis of exponentially weighted averages of daily returns—even though it appears so at first sight. However, with a 5-min sampling frequency, the models can be differentiated and empirical evidence overwhelmingly favours a fast mean-reverting log-normal model.