Scenario and Sensitivity Based Stability Analysis of the High Renewable Future Grid

It can be expected that the power systems of the future will be significantly different from today's, especially due to increasing renewable energy sources (RESs), storage systems, and price-responsive users leading to large uncertainty and complexity. The operation of these future grids (FGs) at levels of renewable energy approaching 100% will require all the usual stability analysis along with new issues in a much more complex situation than has been encountered in the past. In fact, how close we can get to this desired level will likely be dependent on the assessed stability limits. Therefore, in this study, we use a novel scenario-sensitivity-contingency based framework to evaluate the system stability along possible evolution pathways towards high renewable FGs. As a case study, we carry out our studies based on proposed future scenarios and sensitivities for the Australian FG. Using a simulation platform that encompasses market simulation, load flow calculation and stability assessment altogether, the impact of grid strength, level of prosumers, and utility storage on the stability of the FG is studied and quantified indices for long term stability have been devised. The results of this study enable us to address the underlying stability issues of the FGs.