Closed for Business? Using a Mixture Model to Explore the Supply of Psychiatric Care for New Patients

Objective:To investigate the degree to which psychiatrists are accessible to new outpatients and the factors that predict whether psychiatrists will see new outpatients.Methods:We used administrative health data on all practicing full-time psychiatrists in Ontario, Canada, over a 5-year period (2009-2010 to 2013-2014). We used a regression model to estimate the number of new outpatients seen, accounting for case mix, outpatient volume, and psychiatrist practice characteristics.Results:Approximately 10% of full-time psychiatrists are seeing 1 or fewer new outpatients per month, and another 10% are seeing between 1 and 2 new outpatients per month. Our model identified psychiatrists in 3 distinct practice styles. One practice style (representing 29% of psychiatrists), on average, saw fewer than 2 new outpatients per month and 69 unique outpatients annually. Relative to other practice styles, they tended to see fewer patients with a previous psychiatric hospitalization and fewer patients who lived in lower in...