Bladder/lung cancer mortality in Blackfoot-disease (BFD)-endemic area villages with low (<150 μg/L) well water arsenic levels--an exploration of the dose-response Poisson analysis.

Objective: To examine the analytic role of arsenic exposure on cancer mortality among the low-dose (well water arsenic level 500 lg/L, but use of the village mean or the maximum did not. Poisson analyses using mean or maximum arsenic levels showed significant negative cancer slope factors for models of bladder cancers and of bladder and lung cancers combined. Inclusion of the southwest Taiwan regional data did not change the findings when the model contained an explanatory variable for non-arsenic differences. A positive slope could only be generated by including the comparison population as a separate data point with the assumption of zero arsenic exposure from drinking water and eliminating the variable for non-arsenic risk factors. Conclusion: The cancer rates are higher among the low-dose (<150 lg/L) villages in the BFD area than in the southwest Taiwan region. However, among the low-dose villages in the BFD area, cancer risks suggest a negative association with well water arsenic levels. Positive differences from regional data seem attributable to non-arsenic ecological factors.