How large should a pilot study be
2015
Background: Pilot studies are used to identify unforeseen problems or
flaws in the procedures and instruments to be used in a subsequent larger trial. But how many
participants have to be included in a pilot study in order to be reasonably sure that important
problems and flaws will be detected? The aim of this paper is to present a method for sample
size calculations in pilot studies. Methods: A formula has been worked out to calculate the
sample size needed to be able to identify, with a chosen level of confidence, problems that may
arise with a given probability. Findings: A simple formula that can be used to calculate the
sample size needed for a pilot study. For example, if a problem exists with 5% probability in a
potential study participant, the problem will almost certainly be identified (with 95%
confidence) in a pilot study including 59 participants. Discussion: This method can be used to
determine the necessary sample size so that the problem is likely to be observed at least once
during the course of the pilot study.
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