Trend Analysis for Interprefectural Migration in Japan 1954-1993

In this paper our main aim is to examine long-term trends of Japanese interprefectural migration after the War by using a Markov migration model....We observed dependence of in- and out-migration on the size of populations by prefecture....Major findings based on the time-series observation of stationary distributions by year are as follows: First from [the 1950s] to 1970 migrants tended to concentrate [on] densely populated industrialized prefectures (Tokyo Osaka and Aichi) but after that during [the 1970s] populations have redistributed to provincial prefectures. Reconcentration of population to [the] Tokyo area again occurred around [the mid-1980s but] it ceased at the beginning of the [1990s] in accordance with economic recession....It can be concluded that [the] recent Japanese interprefectural migration system has lost its potential power to redistribute populations. (SUMMARY IN ENG) (EXCERPT)