Predictors of reexcision findings and recurrence after breast conservation

Abstract Purpose To identify predictors of reexcision findings and local recurrence in the setting of breast-conserving therapy with radiation. Methods The records of 535 patients who underwent breast-conserving surgery followed by radiation for Stage I or II cancer between 1972 and 1996 were reviewed. The mean follow-up period for surviving patients without evidence of recurrence is 6 years. Various clinical and pathologic prognostic factors were examined for significance with regard to reexcision findings and recurrence rates. Pathologic margin status was classified as negative, close (≤2 mm), positive, or indeterminate. Results The pathologic margin status was the most important predictor of local recurrence. The freedom from local relapse (FFLR) at 6 years was 97% for patients with negative pathologic margins and 86% for all others ( p p = 0.0001) and young patient age ( p = 0.03) were predictive of residual disease in the specimen. Patients with initially close margins and no EIC had a low risk of residual disease at the time of reexcision, as did patients older than age 65 without EIC. Conclusion Pathologic margin status is the most important predictor of local recurrence after breast conservation with radiation. Patient age and EIC were significant predictors of residual disease at reexcision. The use and timing of systemic therapy appear to influence the risk of local recurrence in patients who do not have negative lumpectomy margins.