Yet Another Predictive Model? Fair Predictions of Students’ Learning Outcomes in an Online Math Learning Platform

To support online learners at a large scale, extensive studies have adopted machine learning (ML) techniques to analyze students’ artifacts and predict their learning outcomes automatically. However, limited attention has been paid to the fairness of prediction with ML in educational settings. This study intends to fill the gap by introducing a generic algorithm that can orchestrate with existing ML algorithms while yielding fairer results. Specifically, we have implemented logistic regression with the Seldonian algorithm and compared the fairness-aware model with fairness-unaware ML models. The results show that the Seldonian algorithm can achieve comparable predictive performance while producing notably higher fairness.