The impact of HIV / AIDS on poverty and inequality in Botswana [abstract]
2000
This paper presents the results of a quantitative analysis of the likely impacts of HIV/AIDS on households in Botswana. The analysis makes use of household and individual level data from a household income and expenditure survey (HIES) conducted in 1993/94. Such an analysis is a necessary precursor to estimating the government budgetary requirements arising from HIV/AIDS. Botswana has comparatively high levels of poverty in relation to its national percapita income despite a fall in national poverty rates during the last decade. A study completed in 1996 attributed poverty in Botswana to the lack of access to formal sector jobs as a result of a narrow economic base and poor agricultural potential. The study recommended a package of measures aimed at job creation development of human capacity and the provision of targeted social safety nets. This analysis simulated the effect of imposing the 1998 HIV prevalence rates on the population and income earning structure represented in the 1993/94 HIES and considered the income position after 10 years when HIV infected people were assumed to have died. (excerpt)
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