El gasto público y su impacto en la inversión privada (efecto desplazamiento) en el Perú 1990:01 - 2015:04.
2016
This research has as main objective to determine the impact of public
spending on private investment (displacement effect) in Peru in the
period 1990: 01-2015: 04.
This will have a clearer idea of the impact that may constitute public
spending on private investment. If there is a complementary effect of
public spending on private investment, we talk about crowding in;
however, if government spending merely displace private investment talk
about crowding out. the following problem arises: What is the impact of
public spending on private investment in Peru, during the period 1990:
01-2015: 04? The hypothesis formulated indicates that public spending
has an impact on the behavior of private investment in Peru, over the
period 1990: 01-2015: 04. The methodology followed, both for
information and for analyzing the data obtained, involved recourse to
statistics provided by the Central Reserve Bank of Peru and the
Superintendency of Banking and Insurance. The analysis of the variables
was performed using the Microsoft Excel 2013 program and the
econometric model error correction (MCE).
The results of the econometric analysis validate the null hypothesis,
which considers that public expenditure has an impact on private
investment. The correlation analysis indicate that for every 1% increase
government spending, private investment is increased by 0.27%. In
addition, analysis of normal distributio
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