Numerical Solution of an Interval-Based Uncertain SIR (Susceptible–Infected–Recovered) Epidemic Model by Homotopy Analysis Method

2021 
This work proposes an interval-based uncertain Susceptible–Infected–Recovered (SIR) epidemic model. The interval model has been numerically solved by the homotopy analysis method (HAM). The SIR epidemic model is proposed and solved under different uncertain intervals by the HAM to obtain the numerical solution of the model. Furthermore, the SIR ODE model was transformed into a stochastic differential equation (SDE) model and the results of the stochastic and deterministic models were compared using numerical simulations. The results obtained were compared with the numerical solution and found to be in good agreement. Finally, various simulations were done to discuss the solution.
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