Trajectory Prediction based on Constraints of Vehicle Kinematics and Social Interaction

Trajectory prediction for vehicles is a popular subject since it is beneficial for efficient and secure trajectory planning. In structured traffic scenarios, the behaviour and motion of vehicles are heavily dependent on the social interaction constraints, such as road geometry and surrounding vehicles, and the kinematics model constraints, such as continuous heading and maximum acceleration. To take these factors into account, we analyse the particular characteristics of driving vehicles and propose a model that predicts the possible and feasible trajectory for host vehicle in 3 seconds. In this model, the trajectory of host vehicle takes the center-line as reference, imitates the leader vehicle and focuses on the social vehicles through attention concentration mechanism (ACM) with spatial and temporal information encoded in a fusion hidden state. Furthermore, in order to make the trajectory feasible for vehicle dynamics and kinematics, we introduce a prediction diagnosis method to check the continuous heading and maximum acceleration condition, pruning and adjusting the prediction candidates. Experiments on released public datasets show that this framework can well evaluate the traffic interactions and forecast the trajectory more accurately than common networks.