Autoregressive modeling of cycle-to-cycle correlations in homogeneous charge compression ignition combustion

Homogeneous charge compression ignition or gasoline controlled auto-ignition combustion is characterized by a strong coupling of consecutive cycles, which is caused by residuals from the predecessor cycle. Closed-loop combustion control is considered a promising technology to actively stabilize the process. Model-based control algorithms require precise prediction models that are calculated in real time. In this article, a new approach for the transient measurement of the auto-ignition process and the data-driven modeling of combustion phasing and load is presented. Gasoline controlled auto-ignition combustion is modeled as an autoregressive process to represent the cycle-to-cycle coupling effects. The process order was estimated by partial autocorrelation analysis of steady-state operation measurements. No significant correlations are found for lags that are greater than one. This observation is consistent with the assumption that cycle coupling is mainly caused by the amount of exhaust gas that is direc...