Variables influencing the pelvic radiological evaluation in children with developmental dysplasia of the hip managed by closed reduction: a multicentre investigation

This study aims to evaluate (1) the probability to achieve normal pelvic radiographs in children with developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) treated by closed reduction and (2) the amount of time needed to achieve normal pelvic radiographs and to assess what factors influence both probability and time to achieve normal radiographic parameters following CR and spica cast immobilization for DDH. We retrospectively reviewed 436 patients (393 girls, 43 boys; 507 hips) with DDH treated by closed reduction (CR). Tonnis grade, AVN, acetabular index (AI), centre-edge angle (CEA), and Severin radiographic grade were evaluated on plain radiographs. Criteria to rate pelvis radiographs as normal were established. Cox regression was used to evaluate the factors influencing the probability and the time to achieve normal radiographs. According to our criteria, 167 hips (32.9%) achieved normal radiographic parameters during follow-up. The overall amount of time to achieve normal pelvis radiographs was 36.1 ± 15.5 months. Patients older than 24 months of age at the time of CR needed longer time to achieve normal radiographic parameters (55.2 ± 28 months) compared with other age groups. Cox regression analysis suggested the overall cumulative probability of recovery increased by 46% at five years following CR, then it tended to plateau with an annual increase less than 5%. Age older than 24 months, bilateral dislocation, pre-operative AI greater than 40°, and AVN were risk factors for reduced probability of achieving normal radiographic parameters. The cumulative probability of achieving normal pelvis radiographs increases linearly during the first five years following CR, then it tends to plateau. Age older than 24 months and Tonnis grade III and IV are associated with longer time to achieve normal radiographic parameters. Age older than 24 months, bilateral dislocation, pre-operative AI greater than 40°, and AVN are risk factors for reduced probability of achieving normal radiographic parameters in children with DDH treated by closed means.