An integrated assessment of a low coal low nuclear future energy system for Taiwan

Abstract The goal of this study is to analyze decarbonization pathways for Taiwan, in line with the goals of the Paris Agreement: achieving a 2 °C increase by 2100, aiming for 1.5 °C. We use GCAM, an integrated assessment model, in order to evaluate the different implications of decarbonization in this region. We find that, if Taiwan wants to be consistent with Paris’ goals, it needs an aggressive electrification of end-use sectors, a rapid scale-up of renewable energies, as well as increased efficiencies in buildings, transportation and industry. Transportation and industry present greater decarbonization challenges than buildings, and negative emission technologies become crucial. We also identify opportunities where future research would enrich decarbonization analyses for Taiwan.