Расчет прогнозов заболеваемости раком легкого у мужчин в связи с техногенным загрязнением атмосферы в Кемеровской области

In this paper there are described the variants of the models of the regression analysis (linear, exponential, exponential and hyperbolic) for the detection of relationships between the lung cancer rate in the male population and anthropogenic emissions in the Kemerovo region. After analyzing of the each model there was chosen the one seemed to be the most adequate to describe the dependence of cancer incidence from pollutant emissions into the atmosphere. At a later stage this model has served for the calculation of the medium-term forecasting of lung cancer rate in males in the dependence on the actual number of man-made emissions in previous years.