Groepsrisico en gebiedsgerichtebenadering
2005
In November 2003 the Dutch Ministry of Transport promised the relevant
parliamentary standing committee to conduct an exploratory study on the
area-specific approach to societal risk (the probability of accident with
a large number of victims) in relation to Amsterdam Schiphol Airport in
view of the intended adaptation of the Dutch Aviation Law. This study,
targeted at assessing alternatives for the current societal risk policy
for the surroundings of Schiphol, led to an initial exploratory
investigation on how local societal risk policy could be modelled. At
present, the societal risk caused by aviation activities around Schiphol
is calculated for an area of 56 by 56 kilometres, making balanced
assessments of local environmental planning and safety in the
municipalities around the airport impossible. Therefore societal risk
was examined from municipal perspective to answer the questions on how
different local risks relate to each other and how one can visualize the
change in societal risk when new spatial plans are realized? The
approach tested in this report is concluded to offer good opportunities,
or at least pretexts, for an area-specific approach to societal risk.
However, further studies or a follow-up investigation should reveal if a
practical and valuable instrument can indeed be
developed.
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