Analysis of residential fuel conservation behavior. Memorandum of findings, appendices, and charts

From an analysis of consumer surveys and data from trade and industry, Decisions and Designs, Incorporated (DDI) has derived probabilistic estimates of temperature control and insulation responses to energy shortage in US homes. The data collection and analysis include: analysis of a Gallup home survey of 1000 households nationwide; estimating the reporting, non-response and other biases and errors in the Gallup survey; deriving independent estimates of the same target quantities based on a variety of sources (statistical, trade, survey, and power utilities). The sources of error in each approach are quantitatively assessed and combined using the technique of decomposed error assessment and the estimates are pooled to derive single composite estimates and probabilistic margins of error for each target quantity. The main findings and some highlights of the surveys are discussed. (MCW)