A Lost Opportunity: Recovering the End of Major League Baseball's 1994 Strike Shortened Season

The 1994 Major League Baseball (MLB) Season ended prematurely when the players went on strike on August 12th, due to a labor disagreement with team owners. This paper describes the model estimation for predicting the runs scored in each of the unplayed games and gives the results of 1,000 simulations. Of particular interest are the Cleveland Indians and the Montreal Expos. The Expos were on pace to have the best season in franchise history (and the best record in the league), while the Indians were poised to begin a very successful run that could have ended the city's World Championship drought dating from 1948.