Shift-share espacial del empleo manufacturero municipal. Zonas Metropolitanas: Valle de México y Toluca, 2008-2013

The aim of this paper is to analyze the evolution of manufacturing employment during the post-Great Recession expansion in the metropolitan areas of the Valley of Mexico and Toluca, identifying the most dynamic sub-sectors and the winning municipalities among those that present spillovers to their neighbors. By using the spatial shift-share technique it is found that during the 2008-2013 period most winning municipalities require economic policies to enhance their growth, diversify their production and stimulate employment. In addition, the results show that subsectors that benefit their neighbors are those of low technology.