Physical model assessment of the energy confinement time scaling in stellarators

The International Stellarator Confinement Database (ISCDB) is a joint effort of the helical device community. It is publicly available at http://www.ipp.mpg.de/ISS and http://iscdb.nifs.ac.jp. The validity of physics models is investigated employing ISCDB data. Bayesian model comparison shows differences in the confinement scaling of data subgroups. Theory-based assessment of pure neoclassical transport regimes, however, indicates scalability which is supported by experimental results in specific W7-AS scenarios. Therefore, neoclassical simulations are employed for predictive purposes in W7-X, accounting for effects due to power deposition, plasma profiles and the ambipolar radial electric field. Neoclassical case studies for W7-X are presented as examples for the neoclassical predictions to be considered as an upper limit of plasma performance.