ОЦЕНКА КАЧЕСТВА ВОСПРОИЗВЕДЕНИЯ ТЕМПЕРАТУРЫ ВОЗДУХА И СУММ АТМОСФЕРНЫХ ОСАДКОВ В БАССЕЙНЕ р. ЛЕНА ГЛОБАЛЬНЫМИ КЛИМАТИЧЕСКИМИ МОДЕЛЯМИ

The quality of annual and seasonal temperature and precipitation simulation by global climate models for the Lena river basin is evaluated as a stage for the construction of possible climate change scenarios, which can be used in hydrological applications. The observed climate is characterized by climatic data of the CRU (Climatic Research Unit) global archive; they were interpolated to the 0,5° latitude/longitude grid for 1938–1999 period. To assess the quality of model climate simulation the Nash-Sutcliffe criterion was used. The evaluation of the quality of simulation of annual and seasonal temperature and precipitation characteristics in the Lena River basin allow ranking the CMIP3 climate models.