Changing Drivers of Mortality Among Patients Referred for Cardiac Stress Testing

Abstract Objective To identify temporal shifts in coronary artery disease (CAD) risk factor profiles, clinical parameters, and corresponding mortality rates among patients referred for radionuclide stress testing over 22 years. Patients and Methods We assessed 39,750 patients with suspected CAD (“diagnostic” patients) and 10,982 patients with known CAD who underwent radionuclide stress testing between January 2, 1991, and December 31, 2012, and were followed up for at least 5 years (median, 12.7 years). Results Among both diagnostic patients and those with known CAD, there was a marked temporal decline in typical angina and myocardial ischemia. However, several risk factors for disease progressively increased, including diabetes, obesity, and hypertension. In addition, the need to perform pharmacological testing in lieu of exercise increased markedly between the first and fourth epochs among both diagnostic patients (from 26.5% [1634 of 6176] to 53.0% [5781 of 10,908]; P Conclusion Our findings suggest a marked contemporary shift in the drivers of all-cause mortality among patients undergoing cardiac stress tests away from such factors as typical angina and inducible myocardial ischemia, which are declining in prevalence, and toward such factors as diabetes and an inability to perform exercise, which are increasing in prevalence.