Dynamics of major constituents of tuberculosis morbidity in the population of Novosibirsk region

: After processing the dynamic series of tuberculosis morbidity in the population of the Novosibirsk region by the smooth component methods, two major constituents were defined in morbidity dynamics. In total, they make up about half the total variability of tuberculosis morbidity. The first constituent is due to socioeconomic causes that are common for the whole region. The second one shows rather evident 10-year fluctuations. The same 10-year fluctuations are observed in the dynamics of tuberculosis morbidity among the cattle of the Novosibirsk region by out-stripping that in the population in the northern and eastern areas by 1-3 years.