Survivability not Superiority: A Critique of Kroenig (2013)

Kroenig (2013b) nds that in crises between nuclear-armed states, countries possessing nuclear arsenals larger than those of their opponents tend to be victorious. After correcting for coding errors in the dataset and for nite-sample bias in clustered standard error esti- mates, we show that the original conclusion is too over-condent. We further demonstrate that the association between nuclear superiority and crisis victory is extremely sensitive to the author's variable coding decisions and model specications. Using a new method for