Do Macroeconomic Announcements Cause Asymetric Volatility
2002
textabstractIn this paper we study the impact of macroeconomic news announcements
on the conditional volatility of stock and bond returns. Using daily
returns on the S&P 500 index, the NASDAQ index, and the 1 and 10 year
U.S. Treasury bonds, for January 1982 - August 2001, some interesting
results emerge. Announcement shocks appear to have a strong impact on
the (dynamics of) bond and stock market volatility. Our results
provide empirical evidence thatasymmetric volatility in the Treasury
bond market can be largely explained by these macroeconomic
announcement shocks. This suggests that the asymmetric volatility
found in government bond markets are likely due to misspecification of
the volatility model. After including macroeconomic announcements into
the model, the asymmetry disappears. Becausefirm-specific news is the
most important source of information in the stock market, the
asymmetries in stock volatility do not disappear after incorporating
macroeconomic announcements into the volatility model.
Keywords:
- Correction
- Source
- Cite
- Save
- Machine Reading By IdeaReader
1
References
4
Citations
NaN
KQI