Association Between Postoperative Complications and Long-term Survival after Non-cardiac Surgery among Veterans

OBJECTIVE To evaluate the relationship between postoperative complications and long-term survival. SUMMARY AND BACKGROUND Postoperative complications remain a significant driver of healthcare costs and are associated with increased perioperative mortality, yet the extent to which they are associated with long-term survival is unclear. METHODS National cohort study of Veterans who underwent non-cardiac surgery using data from the Veterans Affairs Surgical Quality Improvement Program (2011-2016). Patients were classified as having undergone outpatient, low-risk inpatient, or high-risk inpatient surgery. Patients were categorized based on number and type of complications. The association between the number of complications (or the specific type of complication) and risk of death was evaluated using multivariable Cox regression with robust standard errors using a 90-day survival landmark. RESULTS Among 699,002 patients, complication rates were 3.0%, 6.1%, and 18.3% for outpatient, low-risk inpatient, and high-risk inpatient surgery, respectively. There was a dose-response relationship between an increasing number of complications and overall risk of death in all operative settings (outpatient surgery: no complications [ref]; one-Hazard Ratio [HR] 1.30 [1.23 - 1.38]; multiple-HR 1.61 [1.46 - 1.78]; low-risk inpatient surgery: one-HR 1.34 [1.26 - 1.41]; multiple-HR 1.69 [1.55 - 1.85]; high-risk inpatient surgery: one-HR 1.14 [1.10 - 1.18]; multiple-HR 1.42 [1.36 - 1.48]). All complication types were associated with risk of death in at least one operative setting, and pulmonary complications, sepsis, and C. Diff colitis were associated with higher risk of death across all settings. CONCLUSIONS Postoperative complications have an adverse impact on patients' long-term survival beyond the immediate postoperative period. Although most research and quality improvement initiatives primarily focus on the perioperative impact of complications, these data suggest they also have important longer-term implications that merit further investigation.