Long-term virological outcomes, failure and acquired resistance in a large cohort of Ugandan children

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate long-term virological failure (VF) and drug resistance among HIV-infected Ugandan children on first-line ART. METHODS: In a multicentre prospective cohort study, viral load (VL) and drug resistance mutations (DRMs) were investigated at baseline and 6 monthly intervals in children (age ≤ 12 years). VF (two consecutive VLs >1000 copies/mL or death after 6 months of ART) was defined as early VF (0-24 months of ART) or late VF (25-48 months of ART). An active regimen was defined as partially active if the genotypic susceptibility score (GSS) was  3 years (OR 2.5, 95% CI 1.0-6.6) and WHO stage 3/4 (OR 4.2, 95% CI 1.4-13.4). Acquired DRMs were detected in 27.0% before 24 months, versus 14.4% after 24 months (P < 0.001). A total of 92.2% of the children with early VF, versus 56.2% with late VF, had a partially active regimen (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: VF rates were high, occurred predominantly in the first 24 months and appeared to increase again in year four. Risk factors and patterns of early VF/DRMs were different from those of late VF/DRMs. Virological control may improve by close monitoring and prompt switching to second-line therapy in the first 24 months. Late VF may be prevented by early start of ART.