Seed dynamics of an endemic palm in a Northwestern Mexican tropical dry forest: implications for population spatial structure

Seed dynamics are an important part of the life history of plants and may have strong implications on abundance and spatial distribution of populations. In this study, we explored how seed dynamics (removal, predation, germination) interact with micro-environmental conditions to affect the spatial structure of populations of Brahea aculeata (Arecaceae) in a tropical dry forest. B. aculeata is distributed throughout arroyo basins and attains its highest densities near to arroyos/rivers. We hypothesized that: (i) seed removal, predation and germination vary across topographic positions resulting in greater palm abundances adjacent to arroyos and (ii) seed removers/predators respond to both a seed density-dependent effect and a microclimate effect. To test this, in six arroyos basins, seeds were sown across three topographic positions (stream, mid and top of basins) with two seed abundances (1 and 10), protected and non-protected from potential predators. Predation, removal and germination were then followed. After 107 days, 100 % of the exposed seeds were removed/predated and none germinated. For seed removal, we found differences among topographic positions and seed densities with higher removal (up to 80 %) and lower predation rates for grouped seeds. Germination was only observed for protected seeds with higher germination rates in single (17 % ± 9) than in grouped seeds (4 % ± 1). The highest germination and establishment rates were adjacent to the streams; areas which had the lowest light intensity (mean ± SE = 883 ± 160 lm/ft2) and temperatures (mean ± SE = 20.1 ± 0.6 °C), and highest humidity (mean ± SE = 50.8 ± 1.8 %), especially during the rainy season. Differential seedling establishment rates across the landscape due to spatial patterns of seed predation/removal as well as micro-environmental variables appear to have implications for shaping the spatial structure of B. aculeata population at Sierra de Alamos, Mexico.