Regional brain morphology predicts pain relief in trigeminal neuralgia.

BACKGROUND Trigeminal neuralgia, a severe chronic neuropathic pain disorder, is widely believed to be amenable to surgical treatments. Nearly 20% of patients, however, do not have adequate pain relief after surgery. Objective tools for personalized pre-treatment prognostication of pain relief following surgical interventions can minimize unnecessary surgeries and thus are of substantial benefit for patients and clinicians. PURPOSE To determine if pre-treatment regional brain morphology-based machine learning models can prognosticate 1 year response to Gamma Knife radiosurgery for trigeminal neuralgia. METHODS We used a data-driven approach that combined retrospective structural neuroimaging data and support vector machine-based machine learning to produce robust multivariate prediction models of pain relief following Gamma Knife radiosurgery for trigeminal neuralgia. Surgical response was defined as ≥ 75% pain relief 1 year post-treatment. We created two prediction models using pre-treatment regional brain gray matter morphology (cortical thickness or surface area) to distinguish responders from non-responders to radiosurgery. Feature selection was performed through sequential backwards selection algorithm. Model out-of-sample generalizability was estimated via stratified 10-fold cross-validation procedure and permutation testing. RESULTS In 51 trigeminal neuralgia patients (35 responders, 16 non-responders), machine learning models based on pre-treatment regional brain gray matter morphology (14 regional surface areas or 13 regional cortical thicknesses) provided robust a priori prediction of surgical response. Cross-validation revealed the regional surface area model was 96.7% accurate, 100.0% sensitive, and 89.1% specific while the regional cortical thickness model was 90.5% accurate, 93.5% sensitive, and 83.7% specific. Permutation testing revealed that both models performed beyond pure chance (p < 0.001). The best predictor for regional surface area model and regional cortical thickness model was contralateral superior frontal gyrus and contralateral isthmus cingulate gyrus, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Our findings support the use of machine learning techniques in subsequent investigations of chronic neuropathic pain. Furthermore, our multivariate framework provides foundation for future development of generalizable, artificial intelligence-driven tools for chronic neuropathic pain treatments.