Моделирование систем «личность–деятельность–эффективность» на основе байесов ских сетей: постановка проблемы

Mathematical models of systems ""Personality-Activity-Effectiveness"" based on statistical data and allows to predict the effectiveness of the activities of the identity and its psychological features, demanded in modern management. Ability to predict the effectiveness of staff on the results of his testing allows to optimize costs agencies or enterprises and reduce the costs associated with failed solutions in the area of personnel. In this paper, considered a prerequisite for the application of the Bayesian networks approach in modeling systems of such type.