Trends in prevalence in human papillomavirus types and their association with cervical dysplasia: an analysis on 15 138 women over 20 years

To investigate trends in prevalence of various human papillomavirus types in order to assess the unmet clinical needs for women affected by human papillomavirus-related disease. Data of consecutive 15 138 patients undergoing human papillomavirus DNA testing from 1998 to 2018 were retrospectively identified. Human papillomavirus types were classified at high-risk according to the classification of the International Agency for Research on Cancer. The International Agency for Research on Cancer included seven human papillomavirus types covered by nine-valent vaccine and five not yet covered by any available vaccines. Overall, 4159 (65.3%), 1500 (23.5%) and 714 (11.2%) women had human papillomavirus types covered by nine-valent vaccination, not covered by nine-valent vaccination and co-infections of human papillomavirus types of both groups. At least one high-risk human papillomavirus type(s) was detected in 1241 patients with genital dysplasia: 832 (67.1%), 291 (23.4%) and 118 (9.5%) women had human papillomavirus types covered by nine-valent vaccination, not covered by nine-valent vaccination and co-infections of human papillomavirus types of both groups. Over the twenty-year study period, the number of human papillomavirus types not covered by nine-valent vaccine increased dramatically (from 4 to 16%; P < 0.001, P for trend). Similarly, looking at patients with genital dysplasia, high-risk human papillomavirus types not covered by nine-valent vaccine increased from 3 to 13% (P < 0.001, P for trend). Our data highlight that human papillomavirus types covered by nine-valent vaccine represent are the main types associated with genital dysplasia. However, over the study period, we observed an increasing prevalence of confections and high-risk human papillomavirus types not covered by the nine-valent vaccine, thus suggesting the need of developing more complete vaccines against human papillomavirus.