Importance of Non-Invasive Liver Fibrosis Scores for Mortality and Complications Development in Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes

Abstract Aims To evaluate the non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score (NFS) and Fibrosis-4 score (FIB4) as predictors of complications development and mortality in a cohort of type 2 diabetes. Methods 554 type 2 diabetic subjects had NFS and FIB4 calculated at baseline. Multivariate Cox and Poisson analyses evaluated the associations between fibrosis scores and the occurrence of microvascular and cardiovascular complications, and all-cause mortality. Results According to recommended cut-offs of NFS, 12.8% had advanced fibrosis and 45.9% had absence of advanced fibrosis and of FIB4, 3.8% and 86.1%, respectively. During a median follow-up of 11 years, 217subjects died, 172 had cardiovascular events (CVEs), 184 had renal events, and 139 had retinopathy and 185 neuropathy events. As continuous variables, both scores predicted all-cause mortality: NFS, HR: 1.30 (p = 0.032) and FIB4, HR: 1.24 (p = 0.021); an increased NFS implied in a significant 90% excess risk of mortality, whereas a higher FIB4 in a borderline 69% higher risk. The scores were mainly predictors of mortality in women and for non-cardiovascular deaths. The NFS was a predictor of renal events, mainly for renal function deterioration. Conclusions The NFS and FIB4 predicted all-cause mortality, particularly in women and for non-cardiovascular causes. The NFS predicted adverse renal outcomes. These liver fibrosis scores may improve stratification risk in individuals with diabetes and NAFLD.